Investment Thesis:
Technology continues to drive global growth and innovation. Our strategy targets fundamentally strong companies and ETFs in the technology sector. We employ PUT options to manage downside risk while employing high-probability strategies designed to outperform market benchmarks. We believe that, over time, fundamentally sound technology companies with sustainable growth will deliver superior performance relative to the broader market.
Objective:
Our objective is to rank among the 15% of investment managers who outperform the S&P 500 after 10 years, we believe this strategy provides the strongest foundation and likelihood to achieve that goal.
Overview:
The investment thesis for trading the technology sector is based on a tactical/strategic strategy that seeks to capitalize on the strong growth and momentum of the tech sector while dynamically managing leverage and risk. The approach uses a rules-based framework that adjusts exposure between non leveraged and leveraged equities depending on market conditions, volatility levels, and trend strength. In bullish market regimes, where the Nasdaq-100 trades above key moving averages and volatility remains moderate, the strategy favors leveraged exposure to amplify returns and benefit from compounding during sustained uptrends. When markets turn neutral or volatile, exposure is reduced or managed more with PUTs to preserve capital and minimize drawdowns. The rationale behind this approach is that the Nasdaq-100, driven by innovation and secular growth in technology and communication sectors, tends to outperform broader markets over time, providing a structural advantage to leveraged strategies when managed prudently. By incorporating trend analysis, volatility filters, and disciplined risk management, the strategy aims to outperform SPY, delivering higher risk-adjusted returns while protecting against large drawdowns that typically erode leveraged ETF performance in choppy markets. If there is a real growth scare or downturn in the US economy we have our PUTs in place to mitigate downside risk and we have the option of going risk off or into sectors/strategies where growth is less of a driving factor.
Buying In/Entry Points
We employ a comprehensive approach that integrates fundamental and technical analysis, strategic asset allocation, and thematic investing, all within the framework of technology investing. This multifaceted strategy is designed to effectively manage risk while attempting to drive positive alpha. We try to follow the saying: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful”. We look for strong long term buying opportunities like 2000-2002, 2008, 2011, 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2025. These big corrections and down turns give our firm the chance to buy the market at bargain prices.
We utilize a variety of strategies to effectively time market entries, including:
1) Moving Average Crossover Strategy: This approach helps identify potential buy and sell signals based on the relationships between short-term and long-term moving averages.
2) Dollar-Cost Averaging: We gradually build positions over several weeks or months to mitigate the impact of market volatility and reduce the risk of poor timing.
3) Experience: Our team's expertise in market trends and behavior guides our decision-making process.
Risk Management Approach
We employ a comprehensive range of strategies and inversely correlated assets to manage equity risk effectively. These include the use of options, fixed-income securities, commodities, stress testing, scenario analysis and risk modeling. This diverse approach allows us to manage client portfolios with both safety and efficiency, adapting to changing market conditions while aligning with client goals. PUT options are a major part of our strategy, when the market crashes and it will, we will be protected by our risk management approach.
Income Generation
We employ a variety of techniques and strategies to generate income for your portfolio. These include writing covered calls and writing credit spreads for your portfolio. These income generating strategies boost your returns and cut back on the cost of protection which is the PUTs.
Going Into 2026 (Thesis Sustained)
Our strategy for 2026 remains unchanged. We are confident in the quality of the companies and funds we own, many of which are expected to see healthy earnings growth next year. Alongside favorable macro conditions—lower interest rates, positive GDP growth, increased liquidity, and continued AI investment—this gives us confidence that our portfolio is positioned to capture the upside while managing risk in 2026.